Can Trump Win? Yes, If....

There is one overwhelming reason Trump is the presumptive nominee. Will it last?

by Rod D. Martin
May 4, 2016

So can Donald Trump win in November? Throughout the campaign, "answers" to that question has been slathered in propaganda. To Trump supporters, their man can do no wrong. To Cruz supporters (and non-Cruz #NeverTrump types as well), Trump is the devil, beguiling Republicans but certain to be annihilated come fall.

Indeed, there’s been every bit as much objectivity about Trump’s chances as there was almost a year ago when he announced his campaign. You know, when the unshakeable consensus what that Trump was “a clown”, his candidacy was “a joke”, he “didn’t even really want to win”, and he’d be forced out the race before September. Of 2015.

I told you that was ludicrous then, early and often. I was right, in every particular. That was not then and is not now an endorsement. As Mark Antony might have put it, I’ve come to analyze Trump, not to praise him.

So can Trump win? Yes. But to a large degree it depends on whether he can control a factor none before him have…